Blacktown City Demons vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
BLA
5 - 1
SYD
33%
25%
43%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 2
BLA
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 1
SYD
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
WOL
2 - 0
BLA
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 3
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ROC
3 - 2
API
34%
23%
43%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
API
1 - 0
MDT
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SYD
4 - 2
API
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
MAN
5 - 2
API
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
API
0 - 0
NSM
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |