Blackpool vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1952 |
ASV
4 - 0
BPO
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1952 |
BPO
3 - 0
SUN
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1951 |
WOL
3 - 0
BPO
64%
19%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1951 |
BPO
2 - 0
LIV
57%
22%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 1
BPO
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1952 |
DER
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1952 |
MAC
4 - 2
DER
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1951 |
STO
3 - 1
DER
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1951 |
DER
2 - 1
HUR
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1951 |
HUR
1 - 1
DER
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |