EFL Cup 1/64
Global 7-2
Blackburn Rovers vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
SHW
1 - 1
BBU
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
BBU
3 - 2
NOR
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
ROC
1 - 1
BBU
24%
28%
48%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
CRE
0 - 0
BBU
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
BBU
2 - 0
CRY
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
ROC
1 - 1
CAR
50%
27%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
HAL
1 - 2
ROC
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
ROC
3 - 2
SCU
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
ROC
1 - 1
BBU
24%
28%
48%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
BHA
2 - 1
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |