Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
STO
0 - 1
BBU
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WIG
1 - 1
BBU
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
BBU
12%
18%
69%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BBU
1 - 2
FCN
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BBU
5 - 3
TRA
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
VAD
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 3
DER
40%
24%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STF
2 - 1
DER
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
DER
0 - 4
CHE
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
DER
1 - 0
STO
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |