Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1997 |
BBU
2 - 4
LEI
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1997 |
BBU
0 - 0
MID
64%
21%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 0
BBU
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1997 |
BBU
4 - 1
SHW
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
ARS
1 - 1
BBU
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1997 |
DER
1 - 3
ARS
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
COV
1 - 2
DER
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
DER
0 - 0
NTT
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
NEW
3 - 1
DER
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
DER
2 - 1
ASV
36%
28%
37%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |