Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1936 |
MAC
2 - 0
BBU
58%
19%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1936 |
BBU
1 - 1
SUN
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1936 |
BBU
0 - 1
ARS
40%
22%
38%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1936 |
BIR
4 - 2
BBU
50%
21%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1936 |
WBA
8 - 1
BBU
61%
18%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1936 |
DER
3 - 1
SHW
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1936 |
BRA
0 - 1
DER
29%
25%
47%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1936 |
WOL
0 - 0
DER
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1936 |
DER
1 - 3
ASV
64%
18%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1936 |
MID
0 - 3
DER
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |