Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1934 |
EVE
5 - 2
BBU
62%
18%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1934 |
BBU
4 - 2
HUR
53%
21%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1934 |
WOL
2 - 1
BBU
58%
19%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1934 |
BBU
1 - 2
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1934 |
PNE
3 - 1
BBU
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1934 |
DER
9 - 3
WBA
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1934 |
LEE
4 - 2
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1934 |
DER
1 - 2
LIV
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1934 |
OPA
5 - 1
DER
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1934 |
DER
1 - 1
BIR
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |