Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
SHE
5 - 3
BBU
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
LIV
2 - 2
BBU
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
BBU
1 - 2
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
BUR
3 - 1
BBU
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
BBU
4 - 1
LEE
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
DER
0 - 0
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
LEI
1 - 1
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
DER
8 - 0
SHW
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 0
DER
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
TOT
3 - 2
DER
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |