Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 1
BBU
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
BBU
1 - 4
MAC
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
MAC
8 - 2
BBU
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
BBU
3 - 2
EVE
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
EVE
3 - 0
BBU
54%
23%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
DER
0 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
MAC
3 - 1
DER
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
SHW
2 - 0
DER
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
DER
2 - 1
SHW
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
OLD
3 - 0
DER
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |