Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
SHE
1 - 1
BBU
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
BBU
6 - 0
MID
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 3
BBU
68%
17%
14%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1913 |
BUR
1 - 2
BBU
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
BBU
6 - 2
LIV
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
DER
3 - 1
BRA
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 2
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
TOT
1 - 1
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1913 |
DER
2 - 2
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
DER
3 - 5
SHE
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |