Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
BBU
1 - 2
EVE
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
EVE
2 - 1
BBU
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
BBU
2 - 4
WBA
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
MAC
3 - 1
BBU
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
BBU
5 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
WBA
0 - 0
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
DER
1 - 2
WBA
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
DER
2 - 0
MAC
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
BRA
2 - 3
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
DER
4 - 1
ARS
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |