EFL Cup 1/32
Global 3-1
Blackburn Rovers vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
CHL
1 - 2
BBU
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1994 |
BBU
0 - 1
TRE
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
BBU
3 - 0
EVE
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
ARS
0 - 0
BBU
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
BBU
4 - 0
COV
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
BIR
4 - 0
POS
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1994 |
ROT
1 - 1
BIR
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
BIR
0 - 1
WYC
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
BIR
2 - 0
STF
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
STF
2 - 1
BIR
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |