Blackburn Rovers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
BBU
0 - 0
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
LIV
3 - 3
BBU
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
PNE
1 - 5
BBU
30%
28%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
BBU
5 - 0
PNE
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
BBU
0 - 1
MUD
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
SHE
3 - 0
ASV
43%
24%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
ASV
0 - 1
BRA
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 0
SHE
77%
14%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
DER
0 - 2
ASV
45%
24%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
MID
5 - 2
ASV
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |