Black Stars vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
82.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 1
FCG
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 2
BLA
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 1
SEN
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ZOF
3 - 2
BLA
26%
21%
53%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 1
BAD
31%
24%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
THU
1 - 4
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAS
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
0 - 2
ZUR
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 1
YOB
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SIO
2 - 2
ZUR
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |