Black Stars vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
82%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 0
LAN
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 1
FCG
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 3
BLA
27%
24%
48%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
6 - 2
FCK
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
EMM
2 - 1
BLA
21%
19%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 1
WIN
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 1
STG
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZUR
3 - 2
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 3
LUG
22%
23%
56%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SER
2 - 2
WIN
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |