Black Stars vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
11º
4º
16
5º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 53 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 42 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 40 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 39 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
WOH
1 - 1
BLA
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 1
RTK
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BLA
5 - 0
CON
55%
21%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 1
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
8 - 1
BLA
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
THU
1 - 2
SOL
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
THU
2 - 3
DIE
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WOH
1 - 1
THU
57%
19%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
THU
2 - 2
RTK
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
THU
2 - 2
CON
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |