Black Stars vs Schotz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 3
BLA
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BLA
8 - 1
WAN
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BAD
3 - 2
BLA
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 5
LUZ
44%
22%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ZUG
0 - 4
BLA
44%
24%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 0
BUO
34%
22%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 4
SCH
35%
23%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 4
DEL
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FCM
1 - 2
SCH
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 2
SCH
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |