Black Stars vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 1
BLA
16%
19%
65%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BLA
7 - 0
FCF
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALL
0 - 5
BLA
29%
23%
49%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
NEX
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 4
BLA
14%
19%
67%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FCT
2 - 2
MOU
14%
19%
67%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 4
ALL
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FCF
0 - 1
MOU
8%
15%
77%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 3
ALL
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NEX
2 - 0
MOU
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |