Black Stars vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BLA
6 - 0
SCH
43%
21%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 3
BLA
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BLA
5 - 0
LUZ
84%
10%
6%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BUO
1 - 1
BLA
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 1
ZUG
69%
16%
15%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 0
LAN
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 1
FCS
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 2
BUO
21%
20%
60%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ZUG
3 - 2
FCS
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 3
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |