Black Stars vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 5
BLA
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BLA
4 - 3
THU
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ZOF
0 - 0
BLA
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BLA
3 - 3
FCG
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FCS
3 - 2
BLA
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
THU
0 - 1
CON
18%
20%
62%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
CON
3 - 3
ZOF
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FCG
0 - 1
CON
30%
23%
47%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CON
3 - 3
FCS
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
NEX
4 - 0
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |