Black Stars vs Bern 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
12%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.5%
2.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 2
BLA
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
YOU
1 - 0
BLA
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
4 - 0
BUO
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 2
BLA
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
4 - 2
SCH
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
BER
0 - 2
BUO
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 0
BER
82%
13%
5%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BER
1 - 3
SCH
18%
21%
62%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ZUG
3 - 1
BER
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BER
1 - 6
FCS
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -2 |