Black Leopards vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 0
BLA
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
AMA
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 1
DJO
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 2
BLA
47%
26%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 4
PIR
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
BLO
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 1
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
FRE
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 0
PRE
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 3
BLO
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |