Black Leopards vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
36%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SUN
5 - 1
BLA
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PIR
2 - 1
BLA
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BLA
0 - 2
CHI
24%
27%
48%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
BLA
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BLA
0 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 1
GOL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 0
FRE
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BLO
1 - 0
FRE
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 0
PIR
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 1
FRE
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |