Black Leopards vs Baroka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
11º
16º
16º
36
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 0
NBM
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
POL
3 - 0
BLA
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 1
HLF
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PCR
0 - 5
BLA
35%
26%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
VFA
40%
29%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
PCF
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
46%
28%
25%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
UTH
56%
27%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
SSU
22%
29%
50%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +2 |