Black Bulls Maputo vs Ferroviario Lichinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Bulls Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TEX
1 - 2
BBM
21%
26%
52%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
BBM
7 - 3
DES
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
HCB
1 - 1
BBM
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BBM
1 - 1
FER
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BBM
1 - 0
BTF
78%
15%
8%
|
68 | 17 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviario Lichinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LIC
0 - 0
VIL
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
LIC
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 0
FER
31%
30%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BDP
0 - 0
LIC
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LIC
0 - 1
COS
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |