Black Bulls Maputo vs Baía de Pemba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Black Bulls Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
COS
2 - 3
BBM
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FER
0 - 2
BBM
41%
25%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BBM
1 - 0
LIC
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
BBM
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
BBM
2 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Baía de Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BDP
2 - 0
VIL
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BDP
2 - 1
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
BDP
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BDP
0 - 1
FER
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
BDP
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |