BKV Előre vs Penzugyor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
15º
7º
32
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKV Előre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
REA
1 - 1
BKV
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
CSE
2 - 2
BKV
44%
25%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
CEG
3 - 1
BKV
25%
23%
51%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
BKV
1 - 0
KEL
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
BUD
5 - 2
BKV
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Penzugyor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
EGE
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
KVS
1 - 0
PEN
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 3
PUT
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
EGE
1 - 2
PEN
46%
25%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
HSE
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |