BKV Előre vs Dabas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
11º
8
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 65 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 61 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 38 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 35 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 31 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
44% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 17 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKV Előre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BKV
5 - 0
DUN
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
BKV
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BKV
2 - 0
TIS
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KTE
1 - 4
BKV
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VSE
0 - 2
BKV
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Dabas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DAB
1 - 2
VSE
45%
22%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TIS
2 - 1
DAB
83%
13%
5%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CSE
2 - 1
DAB
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DAB
0 - 2
ESM
11%
18%
72%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DAB
0 - 5
MON
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -2 |