BKMA vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
8º
36
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 2
BKM
50%
25%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 3
ALA
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 2
BKM
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
BKM
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
BKM
1 - 1
VAN
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 3
SHI
14%
21%
66%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
SHI
7 - 0
ALA
79%
16%
5%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 2
SHI
13%
20%
68%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
SHI
5 - 0
BKM
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SHI
2 - 1
ARA
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |