BKMA vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
8º
22
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
NOA
0 - 0
BKM
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 3
VAN
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 0
BKM
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 1
NOA
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
BKM
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
LER
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LER
0 - 0
NOA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 1
LER
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
LER
1 - 3
VAN
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 2
LER
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |