BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
8º
76
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BKM
1 - 1
PYU
17%
24%
60%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
BKM
66%
22%
12%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
BKM
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 1
LER
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
NOA
0 - 0
BKM
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NOA
1 - 2
AVA
29%
28%
44%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 0
PYU
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
4 - 0
VAN
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 5
AVA
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
4 - 1
ALA
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |