BKMA vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
8º
37
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PYU
3 - 0
BKM
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 2
BAN
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BKM
1 - 1
ALA
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LER
0 - 3
BKM
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 1
NOA
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
LER
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NOA
2 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 3
VAN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 2
SHI
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 3
AVA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |