BKMA II vs Shirak II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
2º
41
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 1
BKM
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 1
ALA
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 3
PYU
54%
23%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
4 - 3
LAR
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
BKM
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 0
SYU
18%
22%
61%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 0
PYU
11%
17%
72%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 2
SHI
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 0
ARA
10%
18%
73%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
SHI
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |