BKMA II vs Ararat-Armenia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
2º
55
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 0
SYU
64%
20%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
BKM
12%
18%
71%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
1 - 5
BKM
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
3 - 1
SHI
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 1
BKM
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 2
LAR
85%
10%
4%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
3 - 4
ARA
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 4
ARA
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 2
ARA
10%
18%
72%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
5 - 2
WAR
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |