BK Olympic vs Falkenbergs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
68.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
14º
4º
63
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BK Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
TOR
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
OLY
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 2
LBK
23%
25%
53%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 0
OLY
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 0
ESK
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 0
ROS
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
LIS
0 - 4
FAL
5%
10%
86%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
LJU
1 - 1
FAL
12%
20%
68%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 0
OSK
81%
13%
5%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FAL
5 - 0
TOR
77%
15%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |