BK Forward vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
46.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
14º
10º
45
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BK Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
KUM
4 - 4
BKF
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BKF
0 - 2
VFK
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 1
BKF
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BKF
1 - 2
STE
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SKO
2 - 2
BKF
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
HER
4 - 1
VAN
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SKS
1 - 1
HER
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
KON
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GAU
0 - 2
HER
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LID
3 - 2
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |