BK-46 vs Musan Salama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BK-46
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
PII
0 - 0
BK4
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
BK4
1 - 0
JAP
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ILV
0 - 2
BK4
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BK4
1 - 1
FCJ
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
BK4
2 - 2
LPA
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
MUS
0 - 1
SAL
24%
24%
53%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
ILV
4 - 0
MUS
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MUS
1 - 1
TPS
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2011 |
IKI
3 - 0
MUS
44%
23%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
MUS
2 - 2
NAR
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |