BK-46 vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BK-46
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
FCJ
2 - 2
BK4
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
LPA
0 - 3
BK4
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
BK4
2 - 1
IKI
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BK4
6 - 1
TPS
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
TUT
1 - 2
BK4
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ILV
4 - 0
TPS
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
ILV
3 - 1
TPV
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
PII
1 - 1
ILV
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
ILV
2 - 0
TUT
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
NAR
5 - 1
ILV
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |