Bjelovar vs Jaska Vinogradar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bjelovar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BJE
3 - 2
HRV
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUG
2 - 5
BJE
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
BJE
11%
18%
71%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BJE
2 - 0
SEG
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BJE
3 - 2
HDR
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jaska Vinogradar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 1
VIN
56%
22%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BJE
4 - 2
VIN
51%
22%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
4 - 0
VIN
31%
24%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NUK
6 - 0
VIN
28%
24%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIN
2 - 0
HAS
90%
8%
3%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |