Bjelovar vs Jaska Vinogradar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bjelovar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
0 - 1
BJE
71%
20%
9%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BJE
0 - 1
ZRI
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BJE
4 - 1
DUG
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HRV
0 - 3
BJE
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BJE
3 - 1
NKO
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Jaska Vinogradar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
4 - 0
VIN
31%
24%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NUK
6 - 0
VIN
28%
24%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIN
2 - 0
HAS
90%
8%
3%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 2
VIN
17%
21%
61%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
KUS
5 - 1
VIN
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |