Bjarg vs SK Brann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
84.8%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.1%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.4%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bjarg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HAU
2 - 3
BJA
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BJA
2 - 0
VAR
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | +7 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
OTF
2 - 1
BJA
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
SK Brann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BBS
1 - 2
VIF
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAU
2 - 1
BBS
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BBS
1 - 2
STR
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
MFK
2 - 1
BBS
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
BBS
3 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |