Bjarg vs Årdal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bjarg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 1
BJA
16%
18%
66%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 6
BJA
37%
21%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BJA
3 - 4
FOR
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
BJA
3 - 1
ASA
69%
16%
14%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
ASA
3 - 1
BJA
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Årdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 3
LIL
44%
22%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 1
ARD
79%
13%
9%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ARD
0 - 2
FRI
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
STO
5 - 2
ARD
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARD
3 - 5
BJA
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |