USD Bitonto vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
18º
17º
43
8º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USD Bitonto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
USB
2 - 1
GAL
25%
25%
51%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAT
4 - 1
USB
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
FIA
2 - 1
USB
62%
24%
14%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
USB
0 - 1
PAG
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SSB
3 - 0
USB
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SSM
0 - 0
SSB
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 1
SSM
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 1
SMC
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 0
SSM
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 3
ACC
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |