USD Bitonto vs FC Francavilla 1931 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USD Bitonto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 2
USB
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
USB
5 - 0
AEE
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FBC
1 - 2
USB
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
USB
1 - 1
NAR
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
FIA
0 - 0
USB
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Francavilla 1931
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FCF
3 - 1
POM
81%
13%
7%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TAR
2 - 1
FCF
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCF
1 - 1
PIC
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SOR
1 - 2
FCF
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
AEE
0 - 2
FCF
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |