FC Bitburg vs Kaiserslautern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
74.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+121%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
16º
20º
20º
68
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
51 | 51 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
47 | 47 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
42 | 42 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
30 | 30 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
|
20º
|
20 | 20 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Bitburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
5 - 1
BIT
46%
22%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BIT
1 - 4
COS
40%
21%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KOB
1 - 1
BIT
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BIT
1 - 0
AWA
13%
16%
71%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ENG
3 - 1
BIT
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KAI
0 - 2
ARL
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 1
KAI
30%
21%
48%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KAI
2 - 2
AUE
53%
20%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
PIR
3 - 0
KAI
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KAI
4 - 3
DUD
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |