FC Bitburg vs Arminia Ludwigshafen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
84%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.8%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
16º
20º
20º
51
8º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
51 | 51 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
47 | 47 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
42 | 42 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
30 | 30 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
|
20º
|
20 | 20 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Bitburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 2
BIT
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BIT
2 - 4
AUE
6%
12%
81%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
PIR
4 - 1
BIT
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BIT
1 - 4
DUD
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 0
BIT
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GON
7 - 0
ARL
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ARL
1 - 0
DIE
34%
21%
46%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AUE
4 - 0
ARL
51%
20%
29%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ARL
0 - 1
PIR
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DUD
1 - 2
ARL
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |