Beijing Technology vs Jiangxi Dark Horse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
8º
7º
25
5º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Technology
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
BIT
2 - 0
CHO
25%
24%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
BIT
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BIT
0 - 3
YUN
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
JIA
2 - 0
BIT
21%
20%
58%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
5 - 0
BIT
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
QFC
3 - 1
JIA
67%
21%
13%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 2
DAL
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WCH
2 - 0
JIA
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
JIA
2 - 0
BIT
21%
20%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 0
QFC
16%
24%
61%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +2 |