China League Two Play Off Ascenso 1/16
Global 5-3
Beijing Technology vs Hunan Billows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Technology
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HEB
2 - 1
BIT
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BIT
1 - 3
SCA
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAO
3 - 0
BIT
17%
19%
65%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -3 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BIT
2 - 0
HOH
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BIT
2 - 2
JIB
61%
22%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
JIA
1 - 2
HBF
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
HBF
0 - 1
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SHR
2 - 1
HBF
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HBF
1 - 2
SHS
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NAN
0 - 0
HBF
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |