Bistrica iz Slovenske vs Rudar Velenje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
15º
7º
5
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 59 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 57 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 52 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 50 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 37 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 35 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 31 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 31 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 28 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 24 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bistrica iz Slovenske
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
BIS
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
NKP
0 - 6
BIS
7%
12%
82%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 2
BEL
30%
26%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
NKN
1 - 12
BIS
7%
13%
80%
|
51 | 6 | 45 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 1
BIS
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
NKZ
0 - 3
RUD
5%
11%
84%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
2 - 2
TRI
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NSV
1 - 1
RUD
52%
22%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MCR
0 - 5
RUD
6%
12%
81%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
RUD
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |