Bistrica iz Slovenske vs NK Tolmin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
15º
6º
11
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bistrica iz Slovenske
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
DRV
1 - 3
BIS
12%
16%
73%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
KRK
0 - 2
BIS
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 1
BIL
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 0
BIS
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
3 - 2
DRA
57%
21%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 2
BRA
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
TRI
22%
25%
54%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
RUD
2 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
BRI
25%
24%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 0
TOL
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |